More predictions from the professor

For all you readers who have been collecting my New Year predictions for years, here they are. Remember that these are things that I think won’t happen, things I hope won’t happen, or things I believe will happen. Here goes:

Several Democratic New York state senators will fall, including some of the worst thugs who have taken over the State Senate. Two of these men will be indicted for felony crimes; one will be a federal case and the other will be a state charge, brought by Albany District Attorney David Soares. The Democrats will relinquish control of the State Senate and the Senate Democratic Conference Chair will be heard to mutter, “I can’t believe we blew it. We should have listened to our colleagues, including Liz Krueger, David Valesky and Neil Breslin, when they warned us that we were cutting out own throats.” As a result of the Democrats’ fall from grace, the Republicans will receive a share of the power to design the Legislative and Congressional districts. There will be a lot of very unhappy Democratic members of Congress who will publicly blow their guts over the way the Democratic State Senate leadership has conducted itself.

Attorney General Andrew Cuomo will not be given the statutory authority he has requested in order to police and subpoena members of the Legislature. One legislator will tell me (off the record, of course), that “…we’d have to be suicidal to do that.” Nevertheless, Cuomo will receive big time credit for trying. His press and communication people will be beaming about what they describe as “…a beautiful strategy.”

By the time the fat lady sings, Joe Bruno will not have served a single day in jail. The federal “Theft of Honest Services” statute will be thrown out by the United States Supreme Court.

Stung by anonymous posts on newspaper comment boards, the Legislature will toughen the laws that now protect individuals from outright libel. The chair of the Judiciary Committee will say, “This has gone far enough. People have a right to defend themselves against libel and slander.” The case will be brought to the Supreme Court and the Court will uphold the new statute.

There will be a revolution in the Republican Senate caucus. Republicans will be furious about the fact that their leader, Dean Skelos, refused to “power share” with the Democrats when the Dems offered to share some of the chairmanships in the Senate.

There will be a battle over charter schools between the New York State Board of Regents and the SUNY Board of Trustees, both official authorizers of charter schools. Regents head Merryl Tisch will insist that the Regents should be the only authorizers and there will be hell to pay.

Two journalists will quit their jobs and take posts paying them a lot more than their current salaries. One of them will take a job as Director of Communications with Andrew Cuomo.

David Paterson’s polling numbers will continue to rise as he goes head to head with the Legislature on budget matters.

The Legislature will become alarmed and pass “ethics reform” that will be anything but. The Legislature will agree to one reform that may well end up biting them back. They will agree to disclose, to the penny, how much outside income they are earning and where it is coming from. Speaker Shelly Silver will give up all outside work, as will the new Republican leader. The gang in the state Senate, however, will refuse to do so.

The New York Court of Appeals will uphold David Paterson’s right to hold back payments. They will decide that emergency measures give Paterson the right to not pay bills when the state resources do not exist.

Andrew Cuomo will win the Democratic nomination for Governor. Rick Lazio will get the nod from the Republicans. John Faso will run for Comptroller. Eliot Spitzer will make a run on a third party for Comptroller.

The producers of “Saturday Night Live” will apologize to David Paterson for blatant racism and for making fun of his blindness.

You, dear readers, will have a safe, happy and healthy New Year.

Originally Published in the Legislative Gazette, 12/21/09

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